Sadly fascinating text ! I gather from it a few facts. The ongoing financial crisis in Turkey is from Erdogan’s making. His absolute power on his country and his economical beliefs stop him from correcting it. His allies are either reluctant to give him money (Russia) or short on their wallet (Qatar). Erdogan’s answer is « … we have our God ».
Erdogan’s belief in a neo Ottoman destiny forces him to enter Syria, Irak and Greece. He can’t give up this speech or he is politically toast so he has to expand his actions in Syrian and Irak.
With this in mind, he is an unreliable ally and a formidable enemy without any remorse or hesitation to lie, cheat, kill to make his gains.
The USA, Saudi Arabia (MBS in fact) and the Kurds have another agenda. The want to stop and destroy the Iranian influence in the region. The PKK/YPK members are the pawns of the game with ISIS. The second justifies the help for the first. The aim is Iran and the play field is Syria.
They oppose Erdogan who is using them to distract his population for his economical woes.
My bet is that Erdogan will not cooperate with Syria. It would be giving up his neo-ottoman destiny, his big dream. This dream pushed him from a street thug to the absolute power in Turkey. Giving it up would be admitting that his life is a failure.
In a sense, he is in the position of Hillary Clinton who wanted since her youth to be the first female president of the USA. She failed and can’t accept it. Erdogan hasn’t failed yet. I think he will and will accuse anybody but himself of that failure.
Another point comes into my mind. He is a member of the Muslim Brotherhood. I can’t believe he quitted because there’s too much power with it. He is with his god so he can’t fail because he is following the orders of his god. When he’ll go bust, he’ll accuse traitors having destroyed the will of his god and make very graphic moves against the « traitors ».
I do hope I’m wrong.
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